Monday, September 1, 2008

Home for the Holiday

By Carol Gee

At home today -- It is going to be hard work for a lot of people, no holiday. It will not be a day of rest for everyone. We will be treating is as normal day here at our home. Perhaps hot dogs and potato salad will be the extent of our minimalist celebration. And I do not feel particularly “at home” this day. I feel unsettled and watchful, carried along by outside events. There is a surreal tone to the day, as if I am in a theater watching a cheap movie. It is partly because of stuff like this on John McCain's homes: HT to Jon (8/30/08): "ABC News: Political Radar -- Cindy McCain tells Stephanopoulos that Obama Offended Her." To quote:

ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: Democrats' attacks on her family's wealth are unfair and offensive, Cindy McCain said today in an interview airing tomorrow on "This Week with George Stephanopoulos."

For nearly two weeks, Democrats have repeatedly hit Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., for saying he is unaware of how many houses he owns, calling the presumptive Republican presidential nominee out of touch with everyday Americans. In his acceptance speech at the Democratic convention on Thursday, Democratic nominee Barack Obama turned up the heat on McCain, saying he "doesn't know" about the lives of middle-class Americans.

"I'm offended by Barack Obama saying that about my husband," said McCain's wife Cindy.

When asked if Obama went too far in his criticism of McCain, Cindy responded, "I do. I do. I really do."

Homes in the Gulf empty out – The uninvited guest, Hurricane Gustav is currently at Category 3. Three years ago about now, a bigger Hurricane, Category 5 Katrina, came ashore in New Orleans, Louisiana and a long nightmare began for the entire Gulf Coast region. It is reported that 95% of the population heeded the evacuation orders of officials this weekend. A number of them had just gotten back into their repaired homes after waiting years to do so. Many had been living in our region, the diaspora from other hurricanes. Now they are back.

Not where expected -- Many others of us around the nation will not be in our usual places today. This Labor Day was to have been the day when the Republicans convened in Minneapolis to nominate their candidates for President and Vice President. That event will be scaled back to the minimum required under election law, because of the impending hurricane. The presumptive Republican candidates will be out and about, however, looking properly concerned and self-sacrificing for the occasion. We can assume they are relieved that our current president (OCP) and his Veep will not be attending. At the same time OCP and his officials have seen to it that a number of protesters are neither at home nor in the streets, according to Glenn Greenwald's Sunday post. This is no cheap movie (see *videos referenced below). They have been rounded up and put in the Minneapolis jail without being charged, probably until Wednesday.

Hosting the police state? -- The "question of the day" was asked by my blog friend "betmo:" How much truth can we handle? Her own personal answer is pretty gloomy. An earlier Glenn Greenwald post at Salon.com has chilling implications for the possibility of things to come. Titled, "Massive police raids on suspected protesters in Minneapolis," Saturday Aug. 30, 2008. The story begins with this:

Protesters here in Minneapolis have been targeted by a series of highly intimidating, sweeping police raids across the city, involving teams of 25-30 officers in riot gear, with semi-automatic weapons drawn, entering homes of those suspected of planning protests, handcuffing and forcing them to lay on the floor, while law enforcement officers searched the homes, seizing computers, journals, and political pamphlets. Last night, members of the St. Paul police department and the Ramsey County sheriff's department handcuffed, photographed and detained dozens of people meeting at a public venue to plan a demonstration, charging them with no crime other than "fire code violations," and early this morning, the Sheriff's department sent teams of officers into at least four Minneapolis area homes where suspected protesters were staying.

Jane Hamsher and I were at two of those homes this morning -- one which had just been raided and one which was in the process of being raided.

Targeting citizen homes -- "BREAKING: FBI, ATF, and St. Paul Police Massing at 1162 Juliet Ave." This is the Sunday midnight headline from Lindsay Beyerstein for The Campaign Silo and Firedoglake. This same writer also has the raid story on Saturday: "Inside an RNC Raid," by Lindsay Beyerstein, August 30, 2008. It begins and ends with these mind-bending facts:

Thanks to the miracle of cellular technology, I was able to talk to a homeowner while his home was surrounded by police conducting an RNC-related raid. At approximately two-thirty this afternoon, I reached Mike Whelan, a waiter and army veteran, at his duplex at 951 Iglehart Ave. in St. Paul, Minnesota. Whelan said he'd invited independent observers from the group LegalWatch stay in one half of his side-by-side duplex while they monitored RNC protests.

Whelan described himself as a supporter of the RNC demonstrations, but said he is not affiliated with any particular group. "I want to build a country that's based on good social values," he explained. . . Whelan said it was especially perplexing that the police would target his home.

"There's nothing here," he said, "These are the "checking" people. They're not even going to be in the demonstration. Some are lawyers."

Whelan was watching a large crowd of legal observers gathering across the street, many wearing red or green hats. The police officers he could identify were from St. Paul, but he thought there might be other forces on the scene as well. The officers were wearing black uniforms. Their vehicles were "non-descript" vans, not police cruisers. TV cameras were also on the scene. Whelan couldn't be sure because a tree was blocking his view, but he thought City Council member Melvin Carter had arrived. Whelan called him when the raid started. (Talk about constituent service.)

"You figure this would be going on in South Africa, or Russia, not in St Paul," Whelan said, marveling at the incongruity of it all,"St. Paul is nice."

Is this homeland security? In May of this year I posted about the FBI and its plan to infiltrate the Minneapolis groups. Marcy Wheeler adds current perspective to this bizarre story. "This Is What Happens When You Use Terrorism Laws to Investigate Hippies." By: emptywheel Sunday August 31, 2008. To quote her conclusion:

. . . all the more reason to find out the precise role of the JTTF in these raids. If the Bush DOJ approved the use of terrorism techniques to prepare for the convention--in spite of the fact that such an approval would violate DOJ guidelines--we'd have a crystal clear example of why it is inappropriate to interpret terrorism as broadly as the Bush Administration has been pushing to do.

Two of my blog friends left home for the Veterans for Peace march in Minneapolis. "Spadoman" did not have far to go, but "Kitchen Window Woman" traveled all the way from California, saying, " Today we are on our way to the Veterans For Peace Convention in Minneapolis and are real excited." By some stroke of luck they met in person there. Spadoman tells the story:

I am currently working as a volunteer for the Veterans For Peace National Convention right here in my backyard. The turnout is great. The lineup of speakers is fantastic. I had the pleasure to meet a member of The American Patriot Institute as well, none other than Kitchen Window Woman and her husband. I am looking forward to speaking with her more.

References:

(Cross-posted at South by Southwest.)

CHARLIZE THERON - Surfer Girl !






A - ROD The Worst Clutch Hitter of All Time ???


A-Rod is grounding into double plays and striking out and putting together – no hyperbole – the worst clutch-hitting season in all of Major League Baseball, owner Hank Steinbrenner has cased his verbal paintballs in favor of BBs, with the bazooka at arm’s length, and everyone knows A-Rod can’t go anywhere else because the money is too big and Rodriguez’s career-long struggle with important at-bats is again popping up like a zit.

Every player has his demons; Rodriguez’s happen to come with the magnifying glass tilted toward him. That he fries like an ant is nothing new. With a few exceptions, such as last season, Rodriguez’s losing battle in clutch situations has stained what is otherwise a career of marvelous achievement, no-doubt first-ballot Hall-of-Fame induction and likely the all-time home run record.
from Yahoo Sports

Never has it been as bad for Rodriguez as this season. Numbers back up the cries of Yankees fans, whose complaints about Rodriguez look, on the surface, like those of a scorned lover, what with his .306 batting average, 29 home runs, 81 RBIs and .968 OPS. They say he never hits when it counts – home run No. 29, a solo shot Sunday when the Yankees were down 4-0, is a prime example – and a deeper look, with a metric that analyzes clutch hitting, shows they are onto something.

Win Probability Added (WPA), as tracked by fangraphs.com, assigns a different value to every situation. For example, a run-scoring single to tie a game in the seventh inning is worth significantly more than a bases-empty single in the first inning. Over the entire season, it adds up the positives, subtracts the negatives and produces a number that shows how many wins a player contributed to his team – and, ostensibly, an indicator of how well a player fared in clutch situations.

This year, Rodriguez’s WPA ranks 93rd of 158 eligible players.

When analyzing how “clutch” a player truly is, sabermetricians turn to a statistic called WPA, or Win Probability Added, that calculates how many wins a player added to his team by giving more credit to important situations. Fangraphs.com comes up with a “clutch” score by comparing WPA with WPA/LI – Win Probability Added with the Leverage Index removed, i.e. making all at-bats equal, regardless of the situation.

Except for a couple of seasons, Alex Rodriguez has been anything but clutch. And this season, his Clutch score is the lowest in baseball and 20th-worst since 1974.

Year WPA Rank WPA/LI Rank Clutch Rank
2008 0.27 93rd 2.91 18th -2.67 158th of 158
2007 6.85 1st 5.82 2nd 1.00 17th of 162
2006 1.09 76th 2.41 39th -1.37 150th of 160
2005 5.52 3rd 6.27 3rd -0.65 109th of 148
2004 3.08 26th 2.96 29th 0.24 57th of 161
2003 4.15 11th 4.82 6th -0.12 82nd of 165
2002 3.75 26th 4.98 11th -1.27 133rd of 151
2001 5.23 12th 5.96 8th -0.69 125th of 156
2000 5.27 8th 5.62 7th 0.09 64th of 162
1999 1.19 69th 3.22 34th -2.02 151st of 157
1998 4.51 13th 4.00 20th 0.63 33rd of 159
1997 1.97 49th 2.32 37th -0.38 96th of 144
1996 3.79 18th 4.20 13th -0.55 106th of 147