Wednesday, July 12, 2006

Doubting Hillary

Will Hillary run in '08? Yes. Will she win the Democratic nomination? Maybe. Would she win the election? A lot depends on what happens this November, as well as on who the Republican nominee is, as well as on variables like Iraq and the economy, but, well, there's also the paradox of Hillary herself.

WaPo looks at that paradox here. (Reader beware, however: The piece relies heavily on poll numbers that clearly don't tell the whole story. Moreover, there are many different Hillary-related narratives making their way around the media, mainstream and otherwise. Sure, many Democrats have problems with her, and this doubt could derail her in the primaries, but it doesn't make much sense to jump to any conclusions this early in the game. She may very well be coasting on name-recognition and she may very well go down. But she may just as likely surprise her doubters and naysayers all the way to the White House. And would that be so bad? Seriously, would it?)

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