Mass. delusions

By Carl

Coakley 51%-49.5%

The predictions of a major defeat are sorely overrated. Turnout will be above 2.3 million, and Coakley will eke out a victory. Only Politico, which has a very deep right-wing agenda underneath the facade of "calling 'em as it sees 'em" calls this race for Brown by anything more than the MOE.

Fivethirtyeight.com calls it for Brown by three-to-one. I like Nate Silver, but he's being way too cautious here, by his own inferred admission.